Next week, I would wait for a pullback before getting serious on the longs. Why? Because it's at the pullback where the market tests it's strength. It also gets rid of the weak hands. If the market breaks down, then you have nothing to worry about..you weren't in it. Likewise, if you missed the move the past few days, the market will give a second chance for entry at the pullback.
The targets for the pullback would be at 920, and/or wherever the 20-day MA ends up meeting the market, and finally, at the 50-day MA (if it gets to that point). Did you notice the 20-day/50-day MA crossover? It's lagging confirmation for a short-term bullish move. In addition, the market's neutral range narrowed the bollinger bands that is setting up a squeeze. Watch the upper band expand.
Take a look at the steepness of the 3-day uptrend on the 30-day chart. The purple area shows the likely consolidation area. Many people want to see the market go up, up, and away! However, consolidation marked with down days are necessary and a part of the trending process. The rally continues until the trend changes.
Almost everything did very well today, except for the REITs. If they can't participate on a +3% day in the market, then they have problems (maybe people realize that many REITs will get crushed this year). On an interesting note, retailers did very well today, which is confusing with what I just said about commercial RE. Many retailers must fail before REITs fail because store closures cut into the REITs NOI and the ability for them to fulfill their debt service.
Yesterday, I briefly mentioned 12 indicators, so I'll describe what they are and how to use them below the usual charts. This is a bear market rally so don't expect this uptrend to continue forever. Many indicators say that the market is overbought, but remember that the market can stay overbought or oversold for extended periods of time. Trade with the trend and keep an open mind as we cautiously climb this Wall of Worry.
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12 Common Technical Indicators
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